1. The economy could be headed for a recession

WASHINGTON, DC - MAY 23: U.S. President Donald Trump poses for photographs with farmers and ranchers from across the country in the Oval Office at the White House May 23, 2019 in Washington, DC. As the U.S.-China trade war continues to hurt American farmers with tariffs on everything from peanut butter to soybeans and orange juice, the federal government announced Thursday it will give an additional $16 billion bailout to those most affected. (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)
President Donald Trump in the Oval Office.
Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

The economy is in good shape, which the Trump administration regularly touts as one of the crowning successes of his tenure.

But nothing lasts forever, and economic indicators suggest the United States could soon be headed for a recession. In addition, many American companies are constantly expressing frustration about the Trump administration's volatile trade negotiations.

2. Mounting congressional investigations

CHARLESTON, WV - AUGUST 21: President Donald Trump speaks at a rally at the Charleston Civic Center on August 21, 2018 in Charleston, West Virginia. Paul Manafort, a former campaign manager for Trump and a longtime political operative, was found guilty in a Washington court today of not paying taxes on more than $16 million in income and lying to banks where he was seeking loans. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images)
President Donald Trump at a rally in West Virginia.
Spencer Platt/Getty Images

While the special counsel's probe into Russia interference in the 2016 election has wrapped, there are still several congressional investigations digging into Trump's administration and personal affairs.

The president and top administration officials have repeatedly attempted to block House Democrats' pushing for new info and witnesses. That suggests these investigations are unlikely to fade from the headlines between now and Election Day 2020.

Read more: The Mueller probe is over, but here are 6 active congressional investigations into Trump

 

3. An energized Democratic base

THE HAGUE, NETHERLANDS - JUNE 05: Women attending today's demonstration display banners with messages against American policies on June 05, 2019 in The Hague, The Netherlands. Womens' groups called the demonstration in protest of Ivanka Trump's participation in The Global Entrepreneurship Summit. The organisers of the demonstration consider that the participation of Donald Trump's daughter in this forum is a farce, since in the United States the laws against abortion are increasingly tough. Ivanka Trump participated in the forum with a conference entitled "Women Empowerment" (Photo by Nacho Calonge/Getty Images)
Protesters against President Donald Trump.
Nacho Calonge/Getty Images

The Democratic base of voters showed their enthusiasm in the 2018 midterm elections, taking back the House majority in a sweeping fashion. If that can carry on into 2020 and translate to the presidential race, Trump could be in some trouble.

4. He has a primary challenger

AUSTIN, TX - MARCH 09: Bill Weld speaks onstage at Conversations About America's Future: Former Governor Bill Weld during the 2019 SXSW Conference and Festivals at Austin City Limits Live at the Moody Theater on March 8, 2019 in Austin, Texas. (Photo by Hutton Supancic/Getty Images for SXSW)
Former Massachusetts Gov. Bill Weld.
Hutton Supancic/Getty Images for SXSW

Trump has something many past presidents have been severely damaged by: a primary challenger.

Former Massachusetts Gov. Bill Weld launched a bid against Trump. While the Republican National Committee is sticking by Trump instead of remaining neutral, Weld could still harm the president's reelection chances.

Read more: Bill Weld is challenging Trump in the 2020 Republican primary. Here's everything we know about the candidate and how he stacks up against the competition

While primary challenges against sitting presidents have not resulted in the incumbent's ability to secure the nomination, long and drawn out primary fights often inflict considerable damage that ends up hurting them in the general election.

Read more: No sitting president has survived a serious primary challenge in the past 50 years. Here's why Trump should be worried.

5. Not enough legislative accomplishments

WASHINGTON, DC - MARCH 26: President of the united States Donald Trump speaks to journalists, accompanied by Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell and Senator Roy Blunt (R-MO), before he attends the Republican Senate Caucus luncheon on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC Tuesday March 26, 2019. (Photo by Melina Mara/The Washington Post via Getty Images)
Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell and President Donald Trump.
Melina Mara/The Washington Post via Getty Images

Trump has a few big wins from Congress, like the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act and the rapid confirmation of federal judges, including two Supreme Court justices.

But he has also failed to accomplish a number of different things through Congress, like the GOP's decade long promise to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act, comprehensive immigration reform, and an infrastructure package.

An important aspect of running for reelection is ensuring the public is made aware of your accomplishments, and trying to have as many as possible.

Read more: The GOP tax cuts could help Trump get reelected in 2020, even though most Americans hate them

6. A large Democratic field could produce a formidable opponent

NEW YORK, NY - MAY 29: Former U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton delivers the commencement address at the Hunter College Commencement ceremony at Madison Square Garden, May 29, 2019 in New York City. Secretary Clinton received the colleges inaugural Eleanor Roosevelt Distinguished Leadership Award, recognizing her achievements in public service.(Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images)
Hillary Clinton.
Drew Angerer/Getty Images

Much like how Trump emerged from large field of Republican presidential candidates to go on to handily defeat Hillary Clinton in the electoral college, the Democrats have a massive number of candidates all vying for a shot at unseating him.

While it is still early in the race, the Democrats' nominee could end up being far more challenging for Trump than Clinton.

7. Bad polling in crucial states

NEW YORK, Nov. 8, 2016 -- U.S. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump leaves after casting his ballot at a polling station in Manhattan of New York City, the United States, on Nov. 8, 2016. The U.S. presidential elections kicked off on Tuesday. (Xinhua/Li Muzi via Getty Images)
President Donald Trump.
Xinhua/Li Muzi via Getty Images

Trump is underwater in one of the most important states he won in 2016: Texas. According to a recent poll from Quinnipiac University, the Lone Star State prefers former Vice President Joe Biden to Trump, with other Democratic candidates not far behind. 

If those trends continue, it could be very difficult for Trump to secure reelection.

Read more: Joe Biden is running for president in 2020. Here's everything we know about the candidate and how he stacks up against the competition.

8. Trump's tariff policies could inflict unwanted damage on Americans

DALLAS, TX - SEPTEMBER 14: Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks during a campaign rally at the American Airlines Center on September 14, 2015 in Dallas, Texas. More than 20,000 tickets have been distributed for the event. (Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images)
President Donald Trump.
Tom Pennington/Getty Images

Trump's policies using tariffs to hammer other countries and bring them to the negotiating table have adverse effects on the US economy.

The tariffs on China could end up costing American households $800 each year, according to recent estimates. This is due to many US companies potentially having to raise prices of their goods to keep up with the trade war.

Read more: Trump just ramped up tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods. Here are all the products that will get hit.

9. Foreign negotiations could break down

HANOI, VIETNAM - FEBRUARY 28: In this handout photo provided by Vietnam News Agency, U.S. President Donald Trump (R) and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un (L) during their second summit meeting at the Sofitel Legend Metropole hotel on February 28, 2019 in Hanoi, Vietnam. U.S President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un abruptly cut short their two-day summit in Vietnam as talks broke down and both leaders failed to reach an agreement on nuclear disarmament. Trump said in a press conference on Thursday that the United States was unwilling to lift all sanctions and no plans had been made for a third summit. (Photo by Vietnam News Agency/Handout/Getty Images)
North Korean dictator Kim Jong-un and President Donald Trump.
Vietnam News Agency/Handout/Getty Images

Trump pulled off what no US president before him had been able to accomplish when he set up multiple in person meetings with North Korean dictator Kim Jong-un to negotiate denuclearization of the isolated country.

But talks have since floundered while the North Koreans started testing short range ballistic missiles after months of calm. 

If negotiations deteriorate, that could undermine Trump's foreign policy clout he has tried to cultivate in the past two years.

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